PrislanGricarCufarEtAl2019

Référence

Prislan, P., Gricar, J, Cufar, K, de Luis, M., Merela, M., Rossi, S. (2019) Growing season and radial growth predicted for Fagus sylvatica under climate change. Climatic Change, 153(1):181-197. (URL )

Résumé

Climate scenarios for Slovenia suggest an increase in the mean annual temperature by 2 degrees C over the next six decades, associated with changes in the seasonal distribution of precipitation. European beech is an ecologically and economically important forest species in Europe, so it is important to understand the influence of changing conditions on its phenology and productivity for the upcoming years. We hypothesise that the ongoing warming and reduction in precipitation during the growing season will shorten the period of xylem development, thus limiting beech growth in the next decades. Xylem formation was monitored weekly from 2008 to 2016 at two sites in Slovenia. Onset and cessation of cell enlargement and secondary wall formation, as well as xylem growth, are used to evaluate climate-growth relationships by means of partial least squares regression and to predict xylem formation phenology and annual xylem increments under climate change scenarios. A positive correlation of spring phenological phases with March-May temperatures is found. In contrast, autumn phenological phases show a negative correlation with August and September temperatures, while high temperatures at the beginning of the year delay growth cessation. According to the selected climate change scenarios, phenological phases may advance by 2days decade-1 in spring and delay by 1.5days decade-1 in autumn. The duration of the growing season may increase by 20days over the next six decades, resulting in 38 to 83% wider xylem increments. The growth of beech is expected to increase under a warming climate in the sites characterised by abundant water availability.

Format EndNote

Vous pouvez importer cette référence dans EndNote.

Format BibTeX-CSV

Vous pouvez importer cette référence en format BibTeX-CSV.

Format BibTeX

Vous pouvez copier l'entrée BibTeX de cette référence ci-bas, ou l'importer directement dans un logiciel tel que JabRef .

@ARTICLE { PrislanGricarCufarEtAl2019,
    AUTHOR = { Prislan, P. and Gricar, J and Cufar, K and de Luis, M. and Merela, M. and Rossi, S. },
    TITLE = { Growing season and radial growth predicted for Fagus sylvatica under climate change },
    JOURNAL = { Climatic Change },
    YEAR = { 2019 },
    VOLUME = { 153 },
    NUMBER = { 1 },
    PAGES = { 181-197 },
    MONTH = { Mar },
    ISSN = { 1573-1480 },
    ABSTRACT = { Climate scenarios for Slovenia suggest an increase in the mean annual temperature by 2 degrees C over the next six decades, associated with changes in the seasonal distribution of precipitation. European beech is an ecologically and economically important forest species in Europe, so it is important to understand the influence of changing conditions on its phenology and productivity for the upcoming years. We hypothesise that the ongoing warming and reduction in precipitation during the growing season will shorten the period of xylem development, thus limiting beech growth in the next decades. Xylem formation was monitored weekly from 2008 to 2016 at two sites in Slovenia. Onset and cessation of cell enlargement and secondary wall formation, as well as xylem growth, are used to evaluate climate-growth relationships by means of partial least squares regression and to predict xylem formation phenology and annual xylem increments under climate change scenarios. A positive correlation of spring phenological phases with March-May temperatures is found. In contrast, autumn phenological phases show a negative correlation with August and September temperatures, while high temperatures at the beginning of the year delay growth cessation. According to the selected climate change scenarios, phenological phases may advance by 2days decade-1 in spring and delay by 1.5days decade-1 in autumn. The duration of the growing season may increase by 20days over the next six decades, resulting in 38 to 83% wider xylem increments. The growth of beech is expected to increase under a warming climate in the sites characterised by abundant water availability. },
    DAY = { 01 },
    DOI = { 10.1007/s10584-019-02374-0 },
    URL = { https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02374-0 },
}

********************************************************** ***************** Facebook Twitter *********************** **********************************************************

Abonnez-vous à
l'Infolettre du CEF!

********************************************************** ***************** Pub - Symphonies_Boreales ****************** **********************************************************

********************************************************** ***************** Boîte à trucs *************** **********************************************************

CEF-Référence
La référence vedette !

Jérémie Alluard (2016) Les statistiques au moments de la rédaction 

  • Ce document a pour but de guider les étudiants à intégrer de manière appropriée une analyse statistique dans leur rapport de recherche.

Voir les autres...