DaniauBartleinHarrisonEtAl2012

Référence

Daniau, A.-L., Bartlein, P.J., Harrison, S.P., Prentice, I.C., Brewer, S., Friedlingstein, P., Harrison-Prentice, T.I., Inoue, J., Izumi, K., Marlon, J.R., Mooney, S., Power, M.J., Stevenson, J., Tinner, W., Andric, M., Atanassova, J., Behling, H., Black, M., Blarquez, O., Brown, K.J., Carcaillet, C., Colhoun, E.A., Colombaroli, D., Davis, B.A.S., D'Costa, D., Dodson, J., Dupont, L., Eshetu, Z., Gavin, D.G., Genries, A., Haberle, S., Hallett, D.J., Hope, G., Horn, S.P., Kassa, T.G., Katamura, F., Kennedy, L.M., Kershaw, P., Krivonogov, S., Long, C., Magri, D., Marinova, E., McKenzie, G.M., Moreno, P.I., Moss, P., Neumann, F.H., Norstrm, E., Paitre, C., Rius, D., Roberts, N., Robinson, G.S., Sasaki, N., Scott, L., Takahara, H., Terwilliger, V., Thevenon, F., Turner, R., Valsecchi, V.G., Vanniere, B., Walsh, M., Williams, N., Zhang, Y. (2012) Predictability of biomass burning in response to climate changes. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 26(4). (Scopus )

Résumé

Climate is an important control on biomass burning, but the sensitivity of fire to changes in temperature and moisture balance has not been quantified. We analyze sedimentary charcoal records to show that the changes in fire regime over the past 21,000 yrs are predictable from changes in regional climates. Analyses of paleo- fire data show that fire increases monotonically with changes in temperature and peaks at intermediate moisture levels, and that temperature is quantitatively the most important driver of changes in biomass burning over the past 21,000 yrs. Given that a similar relationship between climate drivers and fire emerges from analyses of the interannual variability in biomass burning shown by remote-sensing observations of month-by-month burnt area between 1996 and 2008, our results signal a serious cause for concern in the face of continuing global warming. © 2012. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.

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@ARTICLE { DaniauBartleinHarrisonEtAl2012,
    AUTHOR = { Daniau, A.-L. and Bartlein, P.J. and Harrison, S.P. and Prentice, I.C. and Brewer, S. and Friedlingstein, P. and Harrison-Prentice, T.I. and Inoue, J. and Izumi, K. and Marlon, J.R. and Mooney, S. and Power, M.J. and Stevenson, J. and Tinner, W. and Andric, M. and Atanassova, J. and Behling, H. and Black, M. and Blarquez, O. and Brown, K.J. and Carcaillet, C. and Colhoun, E.A. and Colombaroli, D. and Davis, B.A.S. and D'Costa, D. and Dodson, J. and Dupont, L. and Eshetu, Z. and Gavin, D.G. and Genries, A. and Haberle, S. and Hallett, D.J. and Hope, G. and Horn, S.P. and Kassa, T.G. and Katamura, F. and Kennedy, L.M. and Kershaw, P. and Krivonogov, S. and Long, C. and Magri, D. and Marinova, E. and McKenzie, G.M. and Moreno, P.I. and Moss, P. and Neumann, F.H. and Norstrm, E. and Paitre, C. and Rius, D. and Roberts, N. and Robinson, G.S. and Sasaki, N. and Scott, L. and Takahara, H. and Terwilliger, V. and Thevenon, F. and Turner, R. and Valsecchi, V.G. and Vanniere, B. and Walsh, M. and Williams, N. and Zhang, Y. },
    TITLE = { Predictability of biomass burning in response to climate changes },
    JOURNAL = { Global Biogeochemical Cycles },
    YEAR = { 2012 },
    VOLUME = { 26 },
    NUMBER = { 4 },
    NOTE = { cited By 40 },
    ABSTRACT = { Climate is an important control on biomass burning, but the sensitivity of fire to changes in temperature and moisture balance has not been quantified. We analyze sedimentary charcoal records to show that the changes in fire regime over the past 21,000 yrs are predictable from changes in regional climates. Analyses of paleo- fire data show that fire increases monotonically with changes in temperature and peaks at intermediate moisture levels, and that temperature is quantitatively the most important driver of changes in biomass burning over the past 21,000 yrs. Given that a similar relationship between climate drivers and fire emerges from analyses of the interannual variability in biomass burning shown by remote-sensing observations of month-by-month burnt area between 1996 and 2008, our results signal a serious cause for concern in the face of continuing global warming. © 2012. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. },
    ART_NUMBER = { GB4007 },
    DOCUMENT_TYPE = { Article },
    DOI = { 10.1029/2011GB004249 },
    KEYWORDS = { Biomass-burning; Burnt areas; Fire regimes; Interannual variability; Moisture balance; Moisture level; Regional climate, Charcoal; Fires; Global warming; Remote sensing, Biomass, annual variation; biomass burning; charcoal; global warming; physiological response; prediction; remote sensing; temperature effect },
    SOURCE = { Scopus },
    URL = { http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-84868018440&partnerID=40&md5=667d6acbc8b28cdb5068cd045e5f84c5 },
}

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