JainKhareSylvainEtAl2021

Référence

Jain, P., Khare, S., Sylvain, J.-D., Raymond, P., Rossi, S. (2021) Predicting the Location of Maple Habitat under Warming Scenarios in Two Regions at the Northern Range in Canada. Forest Science, 67(4):446-456. (Scopus )

Résumé

Acer saccharum and Acer rubrum, two main maple species in North America, will be affected by ongoing global warming. Several studies predict a southern limit contraction but limited northward expansion of maple distribution for the future. We aimed to understand the main drivers of current maple distribution to quantify potential changes to maple habitat in this context. We identified the local conditions of maple stands and assessed the potential changes under warming scenarios. We selected two regions in Quebec, Canada, at the northern distribution of the species and applied probability distribution function and principal component analysis to identify the factors explaining the occurrence of maple compared with other forest species, croplands, and grasslands. Maple habitat was estimated under warming scenarios up to 2°C. We observed a lower density of maple stands in the north (7.76%), compared to the south (33.01%). Warming increased maple stands by 3.54 and 1.45% in the northernmost and southernmost regions, respectively, with the highest increases being estimated at the initial warming (+1.0°C). We conclude that maple of northern regions can benefit from local warming if precipitation does not become limiting. These changes could increase the potential for the regional maple industry and forest management. © 2021 The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Society of American Foresters. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.

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@ARTICLE { JainKhareSylvainEtAl2021,
    AUTHOR = { Jain, P. and Khare, S. and Sylvain, J.-D. and Raymond, P. and Rossi, S. },
    JOURNAL = { Forest Science },
    TITLE = { Predicting the Location of Maple Habitat under Warming Scenarios in Two Regions at the Northern Range in Canada },
    YEAR = { 2021 },
    NOTE = { cited By 0 },
    NUMBER = { 4 },
    PAGES = { 446-456 },
    VOLUME = { 67 },
    ABSTRACT = { Acer saccharum and Acer rubrum, two main maple species in North America, will be affected by ongoing global warming. Several studies predict a southern limit contraction but limited northward expansion of maple distribution for the future. We aimed to understand the main drivers of current maple distribution to quantify potential changes to maple habitat in this context. We identified the local conditions of maple stands and assessed the potential changes under warming scenarios. We selected two regions in Quebec, Canada, at the northern distribution of the species and applied probability distribution function and principal component analysis to identify the factors explaining the occurrence of maple compared with other forest species, croplands, and grasslands. Maple habitat was estimated under warming scenarios up to 2°C. We observed a lower density of maple stands in the north (7.76%), compared to the south (33.01%). Warming increased maple stands by 3.54 and 1.45% in the northernmost and southernmost regions, respectively, with the highest increases being estimated at the initial warming (+1.0°C). We conclude that maple of northern regions can benefit from local warming if precipitation does not become limiting. These changes could increase the potential for the regional maple industry and forest management. © 2021 The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Society of American Foresters. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com. },
    AFFILIATION = { Département des Sciences Fondamentales, Université du Québec À Chicoutimi, Canada; Department of Biology, Quebec Center for Biodiversity Science, McGill University, Montreal, Canada; Ministère de la Forêt de la Faune et des Parcs du Québec, Direction de la Recherche Forestière, 2700 rue, Einstein, Canada; Key Laboratory of Vegetation Restoration and Management of Degraded Ecosystems, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Applied Botany, South China Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, China },
    AUTHOR_KEYWORDS = { Acer rubrum; Acer saccharum; adaptation; climate change; site-suitability },
    DOCUMENT_TYPE = { Article },
    DOI = { 10.1093/forsci/fxab012 },
    SOURCE = { Scopus },
    URL = { https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85113307170&doi=10.1093%2fforsci%2ffxab012&partnerID=40&md5=476b79d76a381767ccc3ddedcafcdbb4 },
}

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